Wednesday, November 17, 2010

November 10 Chat 2

06:54:02  ME : morning
06:54:07  *** FRIEND 2 acknowledged the chat request.
06:54:37  ME : obama meeting with jintao at g-20 meeting in korea
06:54:43  FRIEND 2 : good morning
06:54:48  ME : to "try to stabilize financial markets"
06:55:13  ME : i stand by analysis yesterday
06:55:20  FRIEND 2 : China has been letting the currency move,
so hopes are for a comprimise
06:55:35  ME : we'll see more 'fiscal responsibility' talk
06:55:52  ME : i think we'll see that by letting the tea
partyt folks carry the ball
06:56:26  ME : the political calculation for obama and the
dems is that without the gov't spending , the economy falters again
06:56:47  ME : giving a clear counterpoint for 2012
06:57:03  FRIEND 2 : Paul Krugman is the cheerleader.
06:57:09  ME : but it balances the demands of the creditor
nations and the political opposition domestically
06:57:20  ME : what's he saying?
06:57:27  ME : i don;t pay attention to him
06:57:30  FRIEND 2 : spend, spend, spend
06:57:36  ME : what a joker
06:57:45  ME : what was he saying in 2005/2006?
06:58:03  ME : guys like him and tom friedman have zero credibility
06:58:08  ME : in my eyes
06:58:14  FRIEND 2 : agree
07:00:32  ME :
http://www.cnn.com/2010/US/11/09/california.contrails/index.html?iref=NS1
07:00:37  ME : what do you m ake of this?
07:02:20  FRIEND 2 : scary.  our military must have tracked it,
but isn'y saying anything.
07:02:40  FRIEND 2 : sounds like a warning.
07:02:46  ME : it does
07:02:56  ME : jet contrails break up
07:03:03  ME : so that story doesn;t m ake any sense to me
07:10:06  FRIEND 2 : I am surprised it has not attracted more attention
07:10:30  ME : dude, our mainstream media are ore
propaganda than pravda back in the day
07:10:35  ME : more
07:10:46  FRIEND 2 : this could be a serious breach of our defense
07:11:00  ME : or is it really ours?
07:11:11  FRIEND 2 : i liked living in london because the news
was reported so much differently
07:11:32  FRIEND 2 : why launch near the shore?
07:15:09  ME : so its not actually an act of war?
07:15:23  ME : just a reminder we have the technology and they don't?
07:15:39  FRIEND 2 : could be.  why is it not of more concern?
07:16:09  ME : but just because it's not being reported
doesn't mean anything
07:16:44  ME : either way
07:16:54  ME : i mean 'yes, nothing to see here'
07:16:59  ME : approach
07:17:26  FRIEND 2 : scary
07:18:19  ME : so the grand bargain is china lets CNY rise
further in exchange for more power at IMF?
07:18:29  ME : thats being reported on bloomberg tv
07:19:03  FRIEND 2 : Goldman saying so.
07:40:06  ME : what i postulate is already happening!
07:40:19  ME : news of gingrich out there adopting the anti-fed talk
07:40:24  ME : what a shill
07:40:31  ME : these guys are a piece of work
07:47:20  ME : who emerges as 2012 contenders?
07:47:26  ME : palin and gingrich are has beens
07:47:37  ME : christie?
07:47:45  ME : rick perry in texas?
07:48:19  FRIEND 2 : romney is my bet.
07:48:30  ME : ugh
07:48:39  FRIEND 2 : not the right guy, but palatable to the voters
07:48:51  ME : he doesn;t stir the passions of the tea party folkks
07:48:57  ME : he was in favor of tarp
07:49:03  ME : i believe
07:49:51  FRIEND 2 : i don't know, but i do think the tea party
influence will diminish as other issues demand attention
07:50:18  ME : like what?
07:50:28  ME : economy is the main issue
07:50:48  ME : here's a good for instance
07:50:49  ME :
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/54a44c3e-ec7c-11df-ac70-00144feab49a.html?ftcamp=rss#axzz14tYaXCN2
07:50:55  FRIEND 2 : for now, but other issues such as war,
education will resurface
07:51:14  ME : the establishment calling for the death pof
the dollar as reserve currency
07:51:31  ME : but then desiring to continue the policy
regime that got us into this quagmire
07:53:19  FRIEND 2 : the party in power always continues the
policy regime.  otherwise it is suicide.
07:53:29  FRIEND 2 : politically speaking
07:53:39  ME : it is suicide because the entire structure
is now akin to laying on top of a live grenafde
07:53:47  ME : can't get up off of it
07:53:54  ME : or the whole thing explodes
07:54:20  ME : so we will continue to lay on top of the grenade
07:54:30  ME : as the foreign troops advance on us
07:54:32  FRIEND 2 : yes.  growth is the only anwer.  the
question is "how do we get enough of it?"
07:54:37  ME : which way do you choose to die??
07:54:50  ME : but we are not going to grow by laying on
top of the grenade!!
07:55:11  ME : just a slower death
07:56:17  ME : median income in the U.S. is down over the
last 30 years
07:56:29  ME : while the economy has doubled??
07:56:40  ME : incredible
07:56:52  ME : then there's this
07:56:53  ME : http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/EMRATIO/
07:57:21  ME : so... lets outspource some  more jobs?
07:57:30  ME : thats the answer??
08:24:56  ME : do you work tomorrow?
08:31:56  FRIEND 2 : No.  Bonds off, stocks in
08:32:26  ME : ok
09:12:43  ME : yen is the safe haven currency
09:12:48  ME : love it
09:12:55  ME : ?
09:13:06  ME : or is dollar still the safe haven?
09:13:15  ME : yen off 1% today
09:14:17  FRIEND 2 : euro off on ireland, and yen yields to low.
09:15:17  ME : do we get a g20 statement today?
09:15:39  ME : look at bloomberg TOP
09:15:42  ME : ist already happening
09:15:50  ME : Hoenig to speak to house republicans
09:18:16  FRIEND 2 : I think the statement comes out friday or saturday.
09:18:53  FRIEND 2 : thanks i did not see it.  new mood in washington
09:41:10  ME : in what scenario does a sustainable dollar
rally happen?
09:47:04  FRIEND 2 : a) if the euro implodes or b) when organic
growth takes hold.
09:47:11  ME : haha
09:47:18  ME : b)
09:47:19  ME : haha
09:51:09  FRIEND 2 : b may take a while!
09:51:19  FRIEND 2 : a could happen tomorrow
10:03:08  ME : doh
10:07:17  FRIEND 2 : 5 vs 30's back at record wides.should see buying
10:24:28  ME : did you watch the video??
10:26:33  FRIEND 2 : yes.  I saw it on the news last night.
looked like a rocket.  1 vapor trail.  not 2
10:27:30  ME : you're telling me with the g20 mwwting,
china openly threatening the dollar's reserve role, lowering usa
credit rating and potentially putting $1T treasuries on offer that its
not related???
10:28:06  FRIEND 2 : do they have a sub capable of evading our defenses?
10:28:16  ME : i think its our missile
10:28:20  ME : not theirs
10:28:43  FRIEND 2 : why would we shoot it from LA?
10:29:04  ME : what good does it do if you don;t get the
world talking about it?
10:29:07  ME : even to deny it?
10:30:11  FRIEND 2 : although, most big nations must have the
ability to spot it even if fired from the middle of the pacific
10:30:24  ME : unless this is them even saying 'we have
moved ahead of you technologically'
10:31:08  ME : then there was this over the summer
10:31:09  ME : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YnszlJC8iGs
10:31:21  ME : some kind of multi-stage device
10:31:34  FRIEND 2: .  i will have to view from home
10:31:50  ME : its a very interesting video
10:32:14  ME : people thought it was a ufo
10:32:28  ME : but it looks like some kind of multi-stage
rocket technology
10:32:38  ME : launched from hangzhou, china
10:33:43  ME : i'm not a rocket expert
10:33:52  FRIEND 2 : china is the single biggest threat to the world.
10:34:15  FRIEND 2 : followed closely by the us congress.
10:58:59  ME : right on effing cue
10:59:00  ME :
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/11/10/debt-commission-report-social-security-medicare-_n_781606.html
11:12:34  ME : quite a day
11:20:28  FRIEND 2 : yes.  the liberal paul krugman was already
complaing about extending the retirement age.  anything short of
raising taxes on the "rich" is not goood enough for him
11:21:18  ME : whats your sense of positioning ahead of the holidays?
11:21:26  ME : holiday
11:22:31  FRIEND 2 : I think we are ok.  1st buy back is friday.
 we thought monday, so right away.
11:23:27  FRIEND 2 : stocks are happy again
11:24:23  ME : i thought the auction went well given the
spector of armageddon with $1T china treasury holdings on offer
11:25:25  FRIEND 2 : agreed.
11:53:37  ME : "in a surprise move"
11:53:38  ME :
http://money.cnn.com/2010/11/10/news/economy/fiscal_commission_prelim_report/index.htm?hpt=T2
11:53:56  ME : makes the above chat pretty priescent, no?>

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